Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1447.744034 1662.525152 1906.037721 2204.159942 2561.448686 2978.575398 3506.352959
2025-06-22 1085.777469 1347.219809 1673.705884 2117.400824 2714.104333 3502.690037 4647.576544
2025-06-29 905.833943 1177.526080 1537.441581 2059.839062 2817.151414 3905.399522 5646.149435
2025-07-06 775.302563 1044.586867 1418.059096 1989.214140 2869.301617 4225.515749 6583.971494
2025-07-13 717.305362 999.365809 1407.873718 2064.811209 3139.572962 4916.364396 8285.789809
2025-07-20 657.720790 942.172332 1369.345946 2086.310441 3321.812462 5495.698431 9957.536142
2025-07-27 617.570058 907.958624 1359.202915 2148.198595 3578.358028 6255.653604 12213.870940
2025-08-03 580.869336 874.090287 1343.973455 2196.843211 3817.110875 7033.798776 14779.836920
2025-08-10 554.778105 853.741284 1347.339353 2276.769750 4127.247468 8027.490830 18228.645385
2025-08-17 520.085658 815.315275 1315.000808 2285.440010 4296.526818 8761.919991 21337.293410
2025-08-24 486.827025 775.910204 1276.223959 2275.534861 4424.135359 9432.966467 24574.860835
2025-08-31 459.510197 744.109160 1247.381334 2280.486682 4583.981544 10222.867367 28558.905601
2025-09-07 439.206881 724.435225 1241.611011 2337.959238 4890.651802 11521.238890 35135.924737
2025-09-14 403.583562 674.340133 1174.036821 2257.912364 4861.737590 11926.258001 38876.253175
2025-09-21 373.869901 632.408705 1117.671319 2193.697989 4858.362190 12404.895711 43260.117157
2025-09-28 345.978525 591.595613 1059.532548 2117.721217 4810.780676 12742.112290 47337.909965
2025-10-05 336.932320 585.599046 1070.165150 2199.322981 5196.872409 14584.773218 60050.698358
2025-10-12 322.890635 568.723754 1056.735135 2222.559123 5429.140109 16014.538753 72257.161668
2025-10-19 313.837331 560.823646 1061.129221 2289.449127 5803.913558 18119.443235 91071.931337
2025-10-26 304.131608 550.777146 1059.839454 2342.050199 6150.556193 20289.450232 113696.581445
2025-11-02 297.638435 546.681351 1071.032491 2428.521892 6628.020069 23249.554996 147796.320778
2025-11-09 285.821574 530.643291 1054.007908 2437.905455 6857.033979 25261.002084 178282.581153
2025-11-16 273.472079 512.588796 1030.747802 2427.185465 7016.656548 27049.407974 211014.913096